Hey so for a perspective from outside the USA, y'all lost. Bigly. This has been one of the most embarrassing episodes in American history. Trump started a fight and lost, and has continued to lose on every front. Bombing repairable infrastructure is not winning. Iran smoked him in a week.
It’s obvious to anyone whose mind is not clouded over with TDS that this attack was meticulously planned over many months. Trump has given full authority to the American military, the best in the world, to coordinate with Israel on something Israel has undoubtedly planned out for years if not decades. It has been a precise and calculated invasion. This has been a proper military rout not some sort of fumbled war game carried out by political jocks. Trump is the master chess player and he has them all running around like headless chickens. This very much reminds me of the early days of his first term and how he dealt with North Korea. He had them eating out of the palm of his hand too and got zero recognition for it. It’s totally refreshing have such a dynamic and purposeful leader in charge of the free world once again.
Kudos to President Donald Trump for having a Sir Winston Churchill moment in defeating Iran before it obtained nuclear weapons.
"If you will not fight for the right when you can easily win without bloodshed; if you will not fight when your victory will be sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival.
There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves. "
British Prime Minister Sir Winston Churchill (The Gathering Storm, London, 1948, page 272)
Spot on with this addition, if Iran has to shut in its production at the well head, it will take decades to get production level back to the levels it had a week ago. I think by my estimation in 1 week Iran will lose most of its production and will be broke for decades.
Attributing conscious thought to Donald Trump is absurd. He listens to no one. He ignores briefings. He learns nothing. This is certified from the current and his past administration. We see him fall asleep in meetings on TV.
The US blockade isn't legal because the action itself exists in law. The blockade is a consequence of his illegal war. That muddies the legal waters quite a bit.
If ships were transiting the strait we'd all have been receiving those ships in port. Instead, they are stranded.
You claim world governments are dealing with an issue that doesn't exist. That the only reality is the one in Donald Trump's head. The reality that no one else can see. That the stranded ships are not there. That we have fuel. That we have fertilizer for the planting season. Why do we think we haven't received our shipments? Why are we rationing? Why are eight billion people experiencing a different reality than you are? Are we to believe that all independent and legacy media have come together for the first time to spin the world's biggest lie so that we can buy more stolen oil from the USA at inflated prices? I just can't see why everyone would go through all this trouble to hurt their own economies to the benefit of the USA that has shown nothing but belligerence toward them. It goes well past ridiculous. Trump had threatened everyone. Why would they break their countries to enrich Trump? He's a pathological criminal with weeks to months to live. Why the global conspiracy to enrich him? He was never loved. Quite the contrary, in fact. This doesn't make sense.
Not, "All other traffic, the thousands of tankers and cargo ships transiting the strait to and from the ports of Oman, the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Iraq, _would_ pass freely." Not "would." Not "will."
What are the numbers on what has happened? Have thousands or hundreds or any tankers and cargo ships to from Oman, UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, SA and Iraq passed through the strait? Have any ships gone to from Iranian ports? If so, how many?
BBC had a 'verify' report but it's about three days old now and only talked about single digits to low double digit numbers IIRC. I thought I'd seen reports of hundreds of ships at anchor not moving.
The Safavids ran heavy propaganda against the Ottomans too, back during their war. In my opinion, actions should’ve been taken to shut down the media arms running the Iranian cyber/influence campaigns. But see, I also believe that we intentionally kept them up to gather context or clues on media resonation (i.e. more propaganda from Iran meant more coping in the form of media attacks).
After losing against the Ottomans, the Treaty basically forced the Persians to stop their bullshit following an “or else” model.
This article aged well, huh…
Hey so for a perspective from outside the USA, y'all lost. Bigly. This has been one of the most embarrassing episodes in American history. Trump started a fight and lost, and has continued to lose on every front. Bombing repairable infrastructure is not winning. Iran smoked him in a week.
https://rossboulton1.substack.com/p/the-protection?r=2leuaj
I don’t know how you can say America “won” anything tbh
It’s obvious to anyone whose mind is not clouded over with TDS that this attack was meticulously planned over many months. Trump has given full authority to the American military, the best in the world, to coordinate with Israel on something Israel has undoubtedly planned out for years if not decades. It has been a precise and calculated invasion. This has been a proper military rout not some sort of fumbled war game carried out by political jocks. Trump is the master chess player and he has them all running around like headless chickens. This very much reminds me of the early days of his first term and how he dealt with North Korea. He had them eating out of the palm of his hand too and got zero recognition for it. It’s totally refreshing have such a dynamic and purposeful leader in charge of the free world once again.
AI generated fantasy.
Kudos to President Donald Trump for having a Sir Winston Churchill moment in defeating Iran before it obtained nuclear weapons.
"If you will not fight for the right when you can easily win without bloodshed; if you will not fight when your victory will be sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival.
There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves. "
British Prime Minister Sir Winston Churchill (The Gathering Storm, London, 1948, page 272)
https://substack.com/@thinktorah/note/c-223269200
Thank you.
Spot on with this addition, if Iran has to shut in its production at the well head, it will take decades to get production level back to the levels it had a week ago. I think by my estimation in 1 week Iran will lose most of its production and will be broke for decades.
Early days….
WAzz
Once again, Alexander, a compelling analysis. It is the reason I am a paid subscriber with you. Thank you!
Attributing conscious thought to Donald Trump is absurd. He listens to no one. He ignores briefings. He learns nothing. This is certified from the current and his past administration. We see him fall asleep in meetings on TV.
The US blockade isn't legal because the action itself exists in law. The blockade is a consequence of his illegal war. That muddies the legal waters quite a bit.
If ships were transiting the strait we'd all have been receiving those ships in port. Instead, they are stranded.
You claim world governments are dealing with an issue that doesn't exist. That the only reality is the one in Donald Trump's head. The reality that no one else can see. That the stranded ships are not there. That we have fuel. That we have fertilizer for the planting season. Why do we think we haven't received our shipments? Why are we rationing? Why are eight billion people experiencing a different reality than you are? Are we to believe that all independent and legacy media have come together for the first time to spin the world's biggest lie so that we can buy more stolen oil from the USA at inflated prices? I just can't see why everyone would go through all this trouble to hurt their own economies to the benefit of the USA that has shown nothing but belligerence toward them. It goes well past ridiculous. Trump had threatened everyone. Why would they break their countries to enrich Trump? He's a pathological criminal with weeks to months to live. Why the global conspiracy to enrich him? He was never loved. Quite the contrary, in fact. This doesn't make sense.
Iran's blockade isn't working but America's is?
Ok, what are the numbers?
Not, "All other traffic, the thousands of tankers and cargo ships transiting the strait to and from the ports of Oman, the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Iraq, _would_ pass freely." Not "would." Not "will."
What are the numbers on what has happened? Have thousands or hundreds or any tankers and cargo ships to from Oman, UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, SA and Iraq passed through the strait? Have any ships gone to from Iranian ports? If so, how many?
BBC had a 'verify' report but it's about three days old now and only talked about single digits to low double digit numbers IIRC. I thought I'd seen reports of hundreds of ships at anchor not moving.
What if both blockades are working/effective?
The Safavids ran heavy propaganda against the Ottomans too, back during their war. In my opinion, actions should’ve been taken to shut down the media arms running the Iranian cyber/influence campaigns. But see, I also believe that we intentionally kept them up to gather context or clues on media resonation (i.e. more propaganda from Iran meant more coping in the form of media attacks).
After losing against the Ottomans, the Treaty basically forced the Persians to stop their bullshit following an “or else” model.
What a laughable statement. The US navy is nowhere near irans ports.